A guide to Mid-Major teams chances of winning in the NCAA Tournament

Here is a look at the resumes and the probability of mid-major teams winning a game or two in the NCAA Tournament.

South Alabama v James Madison
South Alabama v James Madison / Mitchell Layton/GettyImages
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The Vermont Catamounts are winners of the America East Conference men's basketball championship game
The Vermont Catamounts are winners of the America East Conference men's basketball championship game / AL FREY/for the Free Press / USA TODAY

These two teams are considered "well-known" mid-major programs and they hope to be the next "Cinderella" to make the Sweet Sixteen in the 2024 NCAA Tournament.

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Were they Conference Tournament Champions: Yes, they defeated UMass Lowell in the finals of the American East Conference tournament.
Where they finished in the regular season standings for their conference: They finished in first place in the America East conference this season.
Record this Season: 28-6
Their record against teams from the Power Five conferences this season: 0-1

Best victories this season: Charleston (neutral court), Yale, @ Toledo, @ UMass Lowell, @ Bryant, UMass Lowell, and Bryant
Quad 1 and 2 Losses: Liberty (neutral court), @ Bradley, @ Virginia Tech, @ Miami (OH), and Colgate

NET Ranking: 102
KenPom Ranking: 104
College Basketball Power Index Ranking: 85
Barttorvik Ranking: 109

Quadrant 1 Record: 0-2
Quadrant 2 Record: 2-0
Quadrant 3 Record: 9-3

NCAA Tournament: As a No. 13 seed, they will face off against No. 4 seed Duke. The likelihood of them pulling the upset is at 12.3%.

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Were they Conference Tournament Champions: Yes, they won the CAA conference tournament for the second consecutive year.
Where they finished in the regular season standings for their conference: They finished in first place in the Coastal Athletic Association conference this season.
Record this Season: 27-7
Their record against teams from the Power Five conferences this season: 0-0

Best victories this season: @ Kent State, Liberty (neutral court), Iona, Saint Joseph's, @ Hofstra, @ Stony Brook, Monmouth, Drexel, @ Delaware, @ Townson, and Hofstra
Quad 1 and 2 Losses: @ Florida Atlantic,@ UNC Wilmington, Duquesne (neutral court), Vermont (neutral court), Wyoming (neutral court), Townson, and UNC Wilmington

NET Ranking: 97
KenPom Ranking: 98
College Basketball Power Index Ranking: 97
Barttorvik Ranking: 100

Quadrant 1 Record: 0-1
Quadrant 2 Record: 1-2
Quadrant 3 Record: 11-4

NCAA Tournament: As a No. 13 seed, they play No. 4 seed Alabama. The probability of them pulling off the first-round upset is at 10.1%.