A guide to Mid-Major teams chances of winning in the NCAA Tournament

Here is a look at two teams hoping to replicate what Fairleigh Dickinson did in last year's NCAA Tournament.

Were they Conference Tournament Champions: Yes, they won the ASUN conference tournament.
Where they finished in the regular season standings for their conference: They finished in second place in the ASUN regular season conference standings.
Record this Season: 22-12
Their record against teams from the Power Five conferences this season: They were1-2 against teams from the Big 12 conference.

Best victories this season: @ UCF, Charlotte, Lipscomb, and Milwaukee (neutral court)
Quad 1 and 2 Losses: @ UNLV,@ Houston, @ Charlotte, and @ Cincinnati

NET Ranking: 209
KenPom Ranking: 217
College Basketball Power Index Ranking: 174
Barttorvik Ranking: 231

Quadrant 1 Record: 1-2
Quadrant 2 Record: 0-2
Quadrant 3 Record: 1-0

NCAA Tournament: As a No. 16 Seed, they place No. 1 Seed UConn. Their chances of pulling up the upset is 0.5%.

Were they Conference Tournament Champions: Yes, they won the Big South conference tournament.
Where they finished in the regular season standings for their conference: They finished tied for fifth place in the regular season Big South Conference standings.
Record this Season: 23-13
Their record against teams from the Power Five conferences this season: 0-0

Best victories this season: UNC Asheville (neutral court), High Point, UNC Asheville, Winthrop (neutral court), @ High Point, and Winthrop
Quad 1 and 2 Losses: @ St. Bonaventure, @ Dayton, @ Winthrop, @ Hofstra, and @ High Point

NET Ranking: 162
KenPom Ranking: 158
College Basketball Power Index Ranking: 140
Barttorvik Ranking: 170

Quadrant 1 Record: 0-1
Quadrant 2 Record: 1-2
Quadrant 3 Record: 4-4

NCAA Tournament: As a No. 16 seed, they will play No. 1 Seed Houston. The probability of them winning is at 1.8%.