UCLA Football: Play call/outcome analysis from the Arizona St game

TEMPE, AZ - NOVEMBER 10: Quarterback Wilton Speight #3 of the UCLA Bruins runs with the football against defensive lineman Jermayne Lole #90 of the Arizona State Sun Devils in the first half at Sun Devil Stadium on November 10, 2018 in Tempe, Arizona. (Photo by Jennifer Stewart/Getty Images)
TEMPE, AZ - NOVEMBER 10: Quarterback Wilton Speight #3 of the UCLA Bruins runs with the football against defensive lineman Jermayne Lole #90 of the Arizona State Sun Devils in the first half at Sun Devil Stadium on November 10, 2018 in Tempe, Arizona. (Photo by Jennifer Stewart/Getty Images) /
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(Photo by Jennifer Stewart/Getty Images)
(Photo by Jennifer Stewart/Getty Images) /

Personnel

This offense is at peak personnel simplicity at this point.  They used the most flexible 11 personnel on 88% of their plays.  They are really embracing the notion that personnel simplicity limits information given to the opposing defense signal caller.

The lone alternative switch-up personnel 13 was used rarely but was 75% successful. The first drive of the game showcased this apparent schematic feature of the week in 13 personnel with 100% success (used on 4 of the first drive’s 7 plays) and afterward, 13 almost completely disappeared (used another 4 times the entire rest of the game). Chip had something really cooking with this group against Arizona St, and he chose to just drop it.  It’s mind-boggling. There was one nifty 30-yard pass to Devin Asiasi from 13 personnel that showed the upside of tendency breaking for a season-long run tendency personnel group.

Week to Week Chart

The overall season trending we noted last week is still true and reinforced this week. If you start at Colorado and ignore Utah (their defense is elite), the Overall Success Rate (Dark Blue) and YPP (Light Blue) are on a steady linear(ish) trend up.  This vanilla college spread is workable (but certainly not very exciting), even with the personnel limitations on hand for UCLA this year.

Run success rate (Green) and Pass success rate (Brown) flipped on each other from last week.  This is the lack of schematic identity on display.