UCLA Football: Play call/outcome analysis from the Utah game

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PASADENA, CA – OCTOBER 26: Wilton Speight #3 of the UCLA Bruins drops back for a pass agaisnt the Utah Utes in th esecond half at the Rose Bowl on October 26, 2018 in Pasadena, California. Utah won 41-10. (Photo by John McCoy/Getty Images) /

Personnel

Chip continues to mainline 11 personnel (on 85% of snaps!) while minimizing variation and substitution. The shocker on this chart for the week is the 0% success rate of every other personnel group (12 and 13) on eleven tries. I would have expected to see some 10 personnel (4WR) show up with the initial passing emphasis and so much playing from behind. It may be that Caleb Wilson as a pure receiver is just better than any 4th WR they would put out there.

RB Alignment

“Next” alignment continues to be a pass tell (only 8% run). We hit a season-low for plays from under center at two. Chip knew better than to try that obvious running alignment against one of the top run defenses in the P12.

Week-to-Week chart

This chart is very discouraging, even considering the strength of the opposing Utah defense. They bottomed out on Success Rate, YPP, Run %, and Passing Downs %. They fell behind schedule and couldn’t pull any rabbits out of their hats as they did on those Arizona 3rd downs.

The good news is there is a big S&P+ ranking drop off from Utah’s defense to next week’s Oregon Ducks defense. You think Chip wants to win in Autzen? Maybe he will pull a classic pure blur out just for laughs (don’t hold your breath).

Footnote

The google doc linked here has every UCLA offense play logged with the situation, pre-snap details, and post snap results. I like to look for how the situation and pre-snap looks inform play calling and results. In the past, I’ve done this (on staff) for the SBN NFL Chargers blog, and got a lot of great reader participation.

Next. The 30 Greatest UCLA Football Players of All-Time. dark

My hope is that readers look at it and find stuff along with me (something pre-snap is a tell, something else very successful). This post has context for everything in the log.