After a loss to Arizona snapped their seven-game winning streak, the 16-3 No. 3 UCLA Bruins look to get back on track when they take on the 6-13 Arizona State Sun Devils tonight at 7:00 p.m. PST. WynnBET has the Bruins as 10-point favorites and -575 on the moneyline (bet $57.50 to win $10) while the over/under is set at 130.5.
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This is how we’re betting this game:
UCLA vs Arizona State Prediction
If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it. Bettors can relax today knowing we’ve got trends on both sides presenting excellent value in this matchup.
UCLA is an imposing defensive team. The Bruins have the 12th-best adjusted defensive efficiency and get to take on a pitiful Arizona State offense that ranks 319th in 2-point shooting, 350th in 3-point shooting and 352nd in offensive free throw rate. They’ve scored over 65 points just once in their last eight games and should have tired legs after three straight matchups against elite defensive teams in Arizona and USC twice.
Before the Arizona game, UCLA hadn’t allowed an opponent to score more than 65 in six straight. The Sun Devils should have trouble getting to even 50 in this one.
Arizona State’s lone calling card is their defense that ranks 46th nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency behind the 17th-best defensive 2-point shooting percentage. With just the 159th-fastest adjusted tempo, they’ll be happy to play a slow, methodical game and hope they can steal a low-scoring game.
That’s perfect for us, because the under is where the value lies for bettors today. The under is 6-0 in UCLA’s road games and 9-0 in Arizona State’s home games while 15-4 in the Sun Devils’ games overall.
Between two teams that have a remarkable history of going under the total and the style we should see unfold, I absolutely love the under 130.5 (-110) today and will be rooting for as many bricks as possible.
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